Insights
Sprinting Into the Locker Room at Half-Time! Is this Real or Fear of Missing Out?
No doubt about it, the market is exhibiting some mojo as we close out the first half of 2025. The S&P 500 had an outstanding June, with a total return of roughly 5% for the month. This was on the heels of a more than 6% total return in May, which made for one of...
A Roller Coaster Start to 2025 — Time to Regroup for the Second Half
“Knowledge speaks, but wisdom listens,” said legendary guitarist Jimi Hendrix—a fitting reminder as we reflect on the wild ride that has been the first half of 2025. It turns out we were quite serious when we discussed the likely virulent swings in policy rhetoric out...
Avoid Whiplash! Sharp Rally Highlights Importance of Balanced Positioning
As management theorist and author Peter Drucker said, “The greatest danger in times of turbulence is not the turbulence, it is to act with yesterday’s logic.” April saw a whirlwind of surprising news flow causing investors to suffer a commensurate roller coaster ride...
Respect Rising Risk and Volatility, but Hold Your Ground
Stock price behavior felt a little crazy in March, sort of like the madness of a recent college basketball tournament, as the S&P 500 index declined in price by roughly 5.8% for the month and the tech laden Nasdaq composite index price was off roughly 8.2%.1 It...
Clear Air Turbulence or an Ugly Lasting Storm? Hold your Ground!
2025 has simply been boring and status quo, right? There’s not much going on in the world or in the headlines. Not! We want to make sure you are awake as you start to read this. As we anticipated, the amount of news flowing out of Washington on the policy front this...
Economic Outlook: Initial Take on Trump’s Four Buckets
I feel better about some of my past economic calls that haven’t panned out. Theodore Roosevelt’s quote—“The only man who never makes a mistake is the man who never does anything”—gives me some degree of solace. My mistakes show that I am at least willing to make a...