by Jeff Krumpelman, CFA | Apr 4, 2024 | Insights
“Sell in May and Go Away.” — An old investment adage with roots dating back to 18th century England. Also known as the “Halloween Indicator.” The Santa Claus rally that started in October 2023 and saw the S&P 500 surge by 14% in last year’s final two...
by Jeff Krumpelman, CFA | Mar 6, 2024 | Insights
“We’re runnin’ outta timeSo, tonight we’re gonna party like it’s 1999.” – Lyrics from Prince’s song and album of the same name, “1999” The inspiration for famous singer Prince in producing his hit song “1999” emanated from a documentary he saw about Nostradamus, a...
by William Greiner, CFA | Feb 5, 2024 | Insights
The numbers are in—no more guessing about growth levels or inflation rates for 2023. That is all in the rearview mirror (not counting upcoming adjustments to historical gross domestic product (GDP) growth rates). Many are suggesting the U.S. economy is experiencing a...
by Jeff Krumpelman, CFA | Jan 4, 2024 | Insights
Our theme for the equity market as we approached 2023 was: 2023 is likely to be the inverse of 2022. We’re deeply gratified that this became reality. Unlike many, we expected solid results for stocks this past year, and that is exactly what investors got. This cheer...
by Jeff Krumpelman, CFA | Dec 14, 2023 | Insights
“By rationally looking at long-term trends instead of viscerally reacting to the horror story of the day, you’ll see that there’s much more to celebrate than to mourn.” — The Wall Street Journal, excerpt from “For the New Year, Say No to Negativity,” Dec. 27, 2019...
by Jeff Krumpelman, CFA | Nov 3, 2023 | Insights
As we near year-end, we are cautious about S&P 500 returns in the near term. Our S&P 500 targets for year-end 2023 and mid- to late-year 2024 remain the same at 4,500 and 4,800 to 5,000, respectively. Clearly, these are relatively constructive figures. Our...